As we approach 2026, the Windows ecosystem is entering a critical transition period. Users are increasingly faced with decisions about whether to remain on Windows 10, move forward with Windows 11, or prepare for what comes next.
Several important developments are expected next year, including changes to Windows update tracks, the final phase of Windows 10’s lifecycle, and ongoing speculation about a future Windows release.
Two Different Windows Development Tracks in 2026
Microsoft appears to be maintaining two separate development paths, reflecting a clear shift in strategy.
Copilot+ PCs
Copilot+ PCs, powered by newer hardware with dedicated AI capabilities, are expected to receive Windows 26H1 builds. These systems are designed to take advantage of deeper AI integration, advanced on-device processing, and newer platform features.
This track represents Microsoft’s long-term vision for Windows as an AI-first platform.
Traditional x64 PCs (Intel & AMD)
Conventional x64 systems are not expected to receive 26H1 builds. Instead, they are likely to follow the Windows 26H2 update track, which will serve as the primary and more stable update path for mainstream users.
This separation suggests a deliberate move: accelerating innovation on AI-capable systems while maintaining reliability and compatibility for traditional PCs.
The Decline of Windows 10
The year 2026 will be especially important for Windows 10 users. As the year progresses, Windows 10 will move firmly into its post-support phase, meaning standard security updates will no longer be provided.
Users will still have several options:
- Continue using Windows 10 without official security updates
- Rely on third-party or paid extended security solutions
- Upgrade to Windows 11 or newer platforms
Whether Microsoft will extend Windows 10 support again remains uncertain. At present, an extension seems unlikely, but this could change depending on how many users are still running Windows 10 by late 2026.
Will There Be a Windows 12?
One of the most frequently asked questions is whether Microsoft will release a new major version of Windows in or around 2026.
Opinions remain divided:
- Some believe 2026 could introduce a next-generation Windows platform
- Others expect Microsoft to wait until 2027 or later
- Ongoing adoption challenges with Windows 11 may encourage a longer development cycle
While Windows 11 still feels modern, it is already well into what many consider a typical long-term Windows lifecycle. At some point, a major successor will be necessary—but the exact timing remains unclear.
Compatibility Is No Longer the Primary Barrier
Early adoption of Windows 11 was slowed by strict hardware requirements. Today, that situation has changed significantly:
- Most modern PCs now support Windows 11
- New devices ship with Windows 11 by default
- The installed user base continues to grow steadily
Despite this progress, a sizable group of users remains loyal to Windows 10. This forces Microsoft to strike a careful balance between pushing innovation forward and maintaining user trust.
What This Means for Users
For everyday users, 2026 is likely to be a decision-making year:
- AI-capable PCs will move faster with new features
- Traditional PCs will remain supported but on a slower, more conservative update path
- Windows 10 users will need to reassess long-term security and support options
Understanding these changes early allows users to plan upgrades, hardware purchases, and operating system transitions more effectively.
Final Thoughts
The Windows landscape in 2026 will be shaped by clear platform segmentation, the final chapter of Windows 10, and ongoing uncertainty about Microsoft’s next major operating system release.
Whether you plan to upgrade, hold onto existing hardware, or wait for what comes next, staying informed will be essential. The choices made in 2026 will likely define the Windows experience for many users well into the future.